This prognosis is offered by Democratic strategist David Axelrod, who candidly shared his predictions on CNN.
"Sen. Manchin is a kind of dead man walking in West Virginia. There is nowhere for him to go," Axelrod frankly put forth. His observation comes from an evolving political atmosphere in West Virginia, where Republican inclinations are perceptibly ascendant.
Axelrod's assertion gains credence from the 2020 election results, wherein Donald Trump won over the Mountain State by an impressive margin. According to him, this, combined with the popularity of a Republican governor in the state, spells potential disaster for Manchin.
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"He's got a popular Republican governor in a state that Donald Trump carried by almost 40 points. He didn't win by very much last time. So he knows that he can't win re-election in that state," Axelrod observed. This analysis adds an intriguing dimension to the swirling political dynamics as Manchin prepares for a re-election bid.
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The gravity of Axelrod's comments is further intensified by Manchin's position as a potential candidate for an independent presidential run. The New York Times had recently reported that No Labels, a bipartisan political unity group, is mulling over a "unity ticket" for the 2024 presidential race, with Manchin reportedly at the top of their list. Moreover, Manchin hasn't dismissed the possibility of launching a third-party presidential run.
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Recent polling data is not in Manchin's favor either. A survey from the previous week demonstrated that Manchin is significantly behind Governor Jim Justice in a hypothetical 2024 Senate race, trailing by over 20 points. Justice, a Republican, enjoys widespread popularity and is expected to emerge victorious in the primary.
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Axelrod's stark appraisal and the recent survey have shadowed Manchin's political prospects in West Virginia as he navigates a complex electoral landscape in the 2024 election. As Republicans hope to flip a Senate seat, Manchin faces the challenge of securing his Senate re-election and considering the potential implications of a third-party presidential run. The months ahead will undoubtedly be challenging for the West Virginia Senator.
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