Does The FBI Raid On Trump's Home Increase Chances That He Will Run, And That He Will Win?

By Charles Susswein | Sunday, 21 August 2022 12:00 PM
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The FBI raid of former President Trump’s Mar-a-Lago golf club could accelerate a widely anticipated presidential declaration, insiders close to the billionaire explained to The Post.

“There are more and more people telling President Trump to announce right now. He’s got people calling him,” announced one person in Trump’s orbit.

There is an increasingly widely held belief among Trump’s friends and hangers-on that the energy and outrage caused by the federal search is the perfect springboard for an announcement in the months ahead of the midterm elections in November.

“In the days after the raid, we saw all fundraising records broken. This isn’t my first rodeo. I know what the signs look like,” announced Michael Caputo, a former assistant secretary of public affairs in the Department of Health and Human Services in 2020, who is still friendly with Trump.

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Since the raid, Trump’s political action committee has raked in millions of dollars in new fundraising, the Washington Post reported. His Save America Political Action Committee had reported over $100 million cash on hand before the raid, federal filings show.

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Caputo, who last spoke with Trump at the Conservative Political Actions Conference in Dallas earlier this month, announced he used to favor a more cautious approach. Yet, his calculus — and advice — changed after the raid.

“My advice for the president [before] was you want elections to be about midterms and Joe Biden, not Donald Trump, but now with this raid, Donald Trump is on the ballot no matter what happens in the midterms,” Caputo stated.

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Trump thus far is approaching the matter cautiously and not keen to rush into an announcement, rather preferring to let the news coverage of the FBI raid unfold without his interference, different confidantes announced.

On Thursday, West Palm Beach Magistrate Judge Bruce Reinhart — who gave the green light for the original raid — ruled that at least some of the affidavit justifying the search would be made public by the court. Team Trump said video of the raid was recorded by Mar-a-Lago security cameras and could also potentially be released.

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Trump has routinely dominated CPAC straw polls, fundraising, and other metrics indicating he would be the 2024 GOP frontrunner. Yet, some party grandees say he could be vulnerable to a primary.

“The primary vulnerability that Trump has …. is he is a change candidate running for the third time — and that’s hard,” announced one GOP strategist.

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